fbAnalisis teknis #C-FCATTLE | Higher corn prices bearish for FCATTLE | IFCM Indonesia

Analisis teknis #C-FCATTLE : 2021-01-15

Recommendation Feeder Cattle:

Sell
Kuat JualSellNeutralBuyKuat Beli

Bawah 132.51

Sell Stop

Atas 140.48

Stop Loss

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Senior Analytical Expert
Artikel 1733
IndicatorNilaiSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Sell
Donchian Channel Sell
MA(200) Sell
Fractals Sell
Parabolic SAR Sell

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe #C-FCATTLE: D1 has breached below the 200-day moving average MA(200), which has leveled off. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower Donchian boundary at 132.51. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 140.48. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (140.48) without reaching the order (132.51) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

Rising corn prices make cattle raising more expensive as feeding costs rise. Will the FCATTLE continue declining?

Corn prices have risen over 22% since the start of December, which makes feed more expensive for raising cattle. Particularly, mid-2020 estimates indicate each $0.10 increase in corn price results in an increase in feeding cost of gain (total cost to feed your cattle divided by the total pounds gained) of around $0.87 per 100 pounds in US. Rising feeding cost makes feeding cattle more expensive which is bearish for FCATTLE. On the other hand, meat shipments to China, world’s biggest consumer of meat, were up 60.4% over year in 2020. China’s demand for meat was boosted after a plunge in its pork output. Continued higher Chinese meet imports are an upward risk for FCATTLE.

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