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Dollar sentiment improved despite yield curve inversion
US dollar bullish bets rose significantly to $32.29 billion from $29.27 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to April 2 and released on Friday April 5. The dollar sentiment improved despite Treasury yield curve inversion – as the spread between three-month and 10-year yields turned negative, considered to be a predictor of economic recession.
CFTC Sentiment vs Exchange Rate
| April 02 2019 | Bias | Ex RateTrend | Position $ mln | Weekly Change |
| CAD | bearish | negative | -3323 | -365 |
| AUD | bearish | positive | -3938 | -109 |
| EUR | bearish | positive | -13886 | -2574 |
| GBP | bearish | negative | -815 | -107 |
| CHF | bearish | positive | -3290 | 144 |
| JPY | bearish | negative | -7044 | -17 |
| Total | -32297 |
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